In predicting the likelihood of volcanic eruptions for the “Top 20 countries that can be affected by volcanic eruption in the next 10 years,” various scientific methods and historical data were employed. The analysis considered factors such as the frequency of past eruptions, current volcanic activity, and geological research on tectonic movements. The next 10 years mean 2024-2034.

The probability percentage was calculated based on historical eruption patterns, recent seismic activity, and expert assessments from volcanologists. While these predictions offer valuable insights, it’s important to note that volcanic activity is inherently unpredictable, and absolute accuracy is not guaranteed. However, the combination of historical data and modern monitoring techniques enhances the reliability of these forecasts. By staying informed about potential volcanic threats, these countries can improve their preparedness and mitigate the impact of future eruptions.